These remarks are not quite as clear as I wish them to be; so they are a work in progress. I have
immediately below here five graphs. They all trend upwards from
left to right:
Number of Cars in the World Source is www.theglitteringeye.com/images/carprofleet.gif citing the Worldwatch Institute Crude Oil Production Source is www.theoildrum.com/uploads/12/world_context.jpg World Grain Production and Consumption Source is www.jennifermarohasy.com/blog/archives/2006_ProductionConsumption.gif Literacy Rate and Literate Population Source is brucegary.net/book/fig15p12.gif Number of Democracies in the World Source is media.hoover.org/images/policyreview135_boix1.gif It certainly looks like the world is more "democratic" today than it was sixty years ago, and there are some other reference sources that claim is so. Look at what the popular Wikipedia notes in its entry on "democracy": The number of liberal democracies currently stands at an all-time high and has been growing without interruption for some time[citation needed]. Currently, there are 121 countries that are democratic, and the trend is increasing[10] (up from 40 in 1972)[citation needed]. As such, it has been speculated that this trend may continue in the future to the point where liberal democratic nation-states become the universal standard form of human society. This prediction forms the core of Francis Fukayama's "End of History" controversial theory. These theories are criticized by those who fear an evolution of liberal democracies to Post-democracy, and other who points out the high number of illiberal democracies. Encyclopedia Britannica Online (Retrieved 22 January 2008 search.eb.com/eb/article-233845): During the 20th century, the number of countries possessing the basic political institutions of representative democracy increased significantly. At the beginning of the 21st century, independent observers agreed that more than one-third of the world's nominally independent countries possessed democratic institutions comparable to those of the English-speaking countries and the older democracies of Continental Europe. In an additional one-sixth of the world's countries, these institutions, though somewhat defective, nevertheless provided historically high levels of democratic government. Altogether, these democratic and near-democratic countries contained nearly half the world's population. What accounted for this rapid expansion of democratic institutions? American interest in making the world more democratic was largely non-existent before World War I. Then, on 2 April 1917, President Woodrow Wilson went before a joint session of Congress to ask for a Declaration of War against Germany in order that "The world must be made safe for democracy." World War II would bring a similar American mission, though President Franklin D. Roosevelt couched it in somewhat different terms in his Annual Message to Congress (6 January 1941): In the future days, which we seek to make secure, we look forward to a world founded upon four essential human freedoms. Then after the successful conclusion of the Second World War, the real essence of the Cold War was always to combat the spread of communism (and, I would argue, secondarily to increase the spread of democracy). Harry Truman, in his Address to Congress of 12 March 1947, in stating what would become known as the Truman Doctrine, averred that: I believe that it must be the policy of the United States to support free peoples who are resisting attempted subjugation by armed minorities or by outside pressures. President Jimmy Carter, decades later, in his inaugural address, also spoke in terms of the American commitment to the support of human rights--not necessarily "democratic" regimes or US allies--throughout the world. (See my comments on him in the 1970s.) We could go through more presidential statements, addresses, sound bites, news conferences, etc. We could also examine the nature of the US commitment to worldwide democracy. Whether that commitment has been in terms of moral support, military weaponry, food assistance, volunteer workers, press statements, international diplomacy, etc? Whether it has been largely driven with the context of the Cold War and the idea of a "zero-sum" game? But for much of the twentieth century, the US has shown some degree of commitment to furthering the democratic process abroad. But what is the democratic process, and what is meant by democratization? There is actually little of real substance on the web, but I have suggestions for three good websites in this regard:
And what exactly is meant by democracy? That can be a difficult question to answer because no one really can agree on a definition of what democracy is. The ancient Athenians had a different answer than the citizens of the Roman Empire, and those answers are different than what a present-day American might put forward--not to mention the fact that different political parties in the United States will all have their own perspectives on democracy--and the American definitions are different than someone from Indonesia or Kenya or Russia. From the Merriam-Webster Online Dictionary: "government by the people" or "rule of the majority" or "a government in which the supreme power is vested in the people and exercised by them directly or indirectly through a system of representation usually involving periodically held free elections." You can also look at the above citation from Wikipedia or Encyclopedia Britannica or check the US Department of State's What is Democracy? So why are there more--but not all that many more realistically--democratic countries in the world today? Is it better communication and technology? What about some of the factors that were on the charts above? Do you think that there is any correlation between any of those factors and the increase in the number of democratic regimes in the world? Here is my attempt at
an answer to the question of why there are more democratic countries in
the world today? I would point to these factors. which are in the order
that I thought of them:
Maybe there are more democracies in the world; but we could also take a quick look at the "quality" of those democracies. The Economist Intelligence Unit’s index of democracy (*.pdf file) by Laza Kekic does just that. Although there is considerable academic disagreement over just how to "measure" a democracy, the Economic Intelligence Unit adopts five categories. In Table 1 of that report, 165 independent states and 2 territories in the world are ranked from full democracy, to flawed democracy, hybrid regime and then authoritarian regimes. Just in case you do not want to look yourself: Sweden is first; Canada is ninth; the United States is seventeenth; and North Korea occupies position 167. When summarized (Table 2), we can see that 13% of the world's population lives in full democracies (28 countries); 38.3% in flawed democracies (54 countries); 10.5% in hybrid regimes (30 countries) and 38.2% under authoritarian regimes (55 countries). That means that despite the advances of democracy in the last half century, almost 50% of the world's population lives in regimes that are probably not democratic (over half the countries in the world), with a huge percentage of the world living in clearly authoritarian countries. Web pages within the course relevant to the issue of Democratization Some suggestions for further research
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